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Management
COSTS AS LOST PROFITS: THE WORLD CLASS VIEW
By
Rene T. Doming
World class manufacturing, which the Japanese
companies pioneered, is known for its radical
practices to improve quality, reduce inventory
and cost that have translated into dramatic
increases in profitability and productivity.
But more important than the practices are
the equally radical management philosophies
behind them that drive these companies to
excellence. For instance, just-in-time manufacturing,
an inventory system, is derived from the philosophy
that "Inventory is evil." The Total
Quality Control (TQC) system is based on the
doctrine of "Doing it right the first
time." Kaizen or non-stop productivity
improvement comes from the philosophy "There
is always a better way" and "Anything
that works is obsolete." Finally, the
world-class cost-reduction movement is based
on the belief that "Cost is potential
profit."
Cost
is profit
A world class company is cost-conscious in
a very different way. By treating all costs
as potential profit, it does not consider
cost as a necessary component or basis of
price. Cost becomes "profit that is lost."
The traditional and current way looking at
cost is based on the premise that:
SALES
= COST + PRICE
In
other words, cost is a given or computed value
to which you add whatever profit or margin
you want to make to get the selling price.
The world class cost outlook is based on the
equation:
PROFIT
= SALES - COST
This
is mathematically equivalent to the first
one, but philosophically different. From this
second perspective, cost is anything that
you deduct from sales and reduces your profit.
In other words, any cost could have been profits
or PROFIT = SALES if cost did not enter the
picture. This novel view of costs and expenses,
operating or non-operating, as potential profits,
is a potent philosophy that guides many Japanese
companies in cornering and competing in international
markets. The implications of this new paradigm
on costs are staggering, and so are the opportunities,
as we shall see.
Let us reflect again on the two equations:
1)
SALES = COST + PROFIT
2) PROFIT = SALES - COST
Let us take two companies, company X, a typical
company that espouses formula 1, and company
Y, a world class company that lives by formula
2. Both will launch a new product in the market;
let's simulate how they might differ in approach.
Company X will start by getting the production
cost estimate - raw material, labor, overhead,
etc. Then its management will decide how much
margin to make on the new product based on
past experience or over-all corporate profit
goals. Finally, knowing the cost and profit,
it will set the selling price - and start
selling.
Company Y will start with the customer, by
asking him how much he would be willing to
pay for the new product in case it comes out.
The company does not question nor bargain
with the desired price given by the customer
who is assumed to be always right. Then company
Y asks its manufacturing people for the production
cost of the new product, employing everything
the company has got: kaizen, value analysis
and value engineering, productivity techniques,
etc. Profit (or loss) is eventually derived
as the final step; sales of the new product
begins if profit is appropriate as determined
by management.
For company X, the decision-making sequence
or priority sequence is
COST
-> PROFIT -> SALES,
while for the world class company Y, it is
SALES
-> COST -> PROFIT.
Another big difference is how the three variables
are treated. Mathematically, those at the
right side of the equation are called independent
variables, meaning they are given, or decided
by somebody. Those at the left side, normally
only one variable, is the dependent variable,
which is not decided nor determined independently;
it is the consequence of the magnitude and
relationship of the dependent variables. What
this means is that for company X, profit,
a right side and independent variable, is
decided - by management, as we have seen.
Sales, a left side and dependent variable,
is the direct result of adding the given cost
to the decided profit.
For company Y, sales, an independent variable,
is not a result of any calculation, but is
a given value - given by the customer. Also,
profit, a dependent variable, is not decided
or given by anybody, not even by management;
profit is the consequence or result of what
is given by the customer - sales - and what
is decided by the company's efforts - cost.
Let's see who would make money, or more money.
Assume both companies will launch a new type
of ball pen. Company X estimates its production
cost at $1 or 100 cents; its management decides
to add a 20% margin, typical of most of its
other products. The profit turns out to be
25 cents, so the company tries to sell the
pen at $1.25 a piece. Company Y starts by
asking customers, students for instance, how
much they would buy its new proposed pen.
After looking at all other ball pens flooding
the market, the customers say that they would
be willing to pay only 95 cents for such a
pen. Then company Y asks its manufacturing
people how much it would cost to make such
a pen, given a 95 cents price. The factory
accepts the challenge and with its best efforts,
it could produce it at 90 cents a piece. At
5 cents profit per pen, the management of
company Y decides to go ahead, launch the
product, and start selling.
Question: How much profit will company Y make
per pen? 5 cents. Right. How much will company
X make? 25 cents. Wrong. Company X will make
zero profit, since all the customers will
buy from company Y which sells the pen at
the lower and desired price of 95 cents. For
company X, sales and profit are both zero,
fictitious, and imagined. Only its cost is
real. For company Y, everything is real -
sales, cost, and most of all, profit. At this
point, company X folds up or may go into other
businesses and leave company Y alone.
To
be cost competitive is to be price competitive
But the war is not over yet - company Y has
just won a battle. With a big volume of initial
sales that results in economies of scale and
the non-stop kaizen and cost-reduction program
of the company, production costs start to
decline - say to 85 cents. They can stick
to the same price of 95 cents, and now make
more profit at 10 cents per pen. Kaizen continues
in spite of the profits, and costs continue
to slide - this time to 80 cents. The company
can now start lowering its price to 90 cents,
and still profit 10 cents per piece. Customers
are happier, and more competitors, say, companies
A, B, and C fold up because none could sell
at 90 cents which may be well below their
production cost.
As kaizen and quality improvement continue,
the good things in life happen to company
Y; costs go down, profits continue to increase,
sales and market share rise until virtually
all competition disappear. This is the unending
saga of how Japanese companies dominated one
industry after another, and will continue
to do so. Their ultimate secret is their cost,
which we do not know and will never know.
We only know the prices they offer, but we
cannot use our own costs as reference because
this may be irrelevant to their costs which
may be light years lower. Lower costs give
them the power to price marginally, such that
they make money on sheer volume generated
by their lower prices.
Cost competitiveness is to price competitiveness.
Low cost, especially ultra-low cost, is a
marketing advantage, a marketing weapon, that
gives your sales force freedom and flexibility
to match, beat, or wipe out the competitor
is a price war. Conversely, high cost ties
up their hands and serves as a severe handicap
especially in competitive, "fast brake"
markets in which they have to make on-the-spot
price decisions to clinch a sale. Ultra-low
cost puts the company in a no-lose situation,
and his competitor in a no-win one. A cost
superior company can price low enough that
his competitor cannot match but can still
earn some margin; or in the absence of competition,
it can maximize profits into mega-profits
by pricing as high as the market could bear.
In either case, a high cost competitor loses
- either the customer or its profits.
Cost
reduction is better than sales increase
Let us now have a short exercise to demonstrate
the power of cost reduction. In terms of profitability,
which is better - a 10% increase in sales
or a 10% reduction in cost? Spare a couple
of minutes to think over your answer to this
question before proceeding further. Let us
now take a hypothetical company A whose current
sales is $100, cost is $70, and therefore
has a $30 profit. To simplify, assume that
it is a single product company, uniform price,
and all costs are basically variable. Let
us now look at the two scenarios.
|
current |
10%
sales increase |
10%
cost decrease |
sales |
$100 |
$110 |
$100 |
cost |
70 |
77 |
63 |
|
----- |
----- |
----- |
profit |
30 |
33 |
37 |
%
profit increase |
|
10% |
23% |
Suppose
another company B has a higher cost of $90,
let's see the results of the two scenarios
|
current |
10%
sales increase |
10%
cost decrease |
sales |
$100 |
$110 |
$100 |
cost |
90 |
99 |
81 |
|
----- |
----- |
----- |
profit |
10 |
11 |
19 |
%
profit increase |
|
10% |
90% |
This
illustration shows several disturbing and
enlightening conclusions. Cost reduction improves
profitability much better than sales increase
by order of magnitude. A sales increase will
increase profit only by the same percentage
- 10% in both companies. However, a cost reduction
will increase profit by more than the percentage
cost was reduced - more than 10% in both cases.
Note that as your cost of production increases
in relation to sales, the positive effective
of cost reduction on profits is magnified:
from 23% increase at 70% cost to 90% increase
in profit at 90% cost.
Cost is a gold mine in the company's backyard
that we fail to see because of the paradigm
that cost is fixed, immovable, and uncontrollable
blocks our view. We may not have to send our
tireless salesmen to far-flung places to chase
customers, or to further twist the left arm
of the customer while our competitor twists
the right arm. A concerted effort to reduce
cost or even shave off a few percentage points
- 1% reduction may even do - will go a longer
way in boosting profits. This is not a call
to stop all marketing efforts; it is a call
to give the same concern and efforts we give
to cost reduction as we give to marketing.
Doing both simultaneously would be ideal;
cost reduction effects on profits are multiplied
by the sales volume generated by marketing
efforts.
The positive effects of cost reduction on
profitability may differ once we let go of
our simplifying assumptions, and allow for
the law of economies of scale to operate,
to take discounts, semi-variable costs, and
other peculiarities of your operation, product,
and industry into consideration. You may try
to do the same exercise as above. But the
conclusions should not change; cost reduction
is more potent in enhancing profitability
than sales increase. And that the higher your
costs, the more effective (profitable) is
cost reduction by order of magnitude.
Cost
increase is worse than sales decline
As you may have suspected, cost is a double-edged
sword, that can cut either way with the same
ruthlessness. It can jack up profit with the
same vigor that it can squash it. If cost
is left unmanaged or left by itself, like
a balloon, it rises - and rises faster and
faster. The effect of costs increases is the
exact reverse of cost reduction. Any cost
increase will have more disastrous effect
on profits than sales decline of the same
percentage. Furthermore, the negative effects
of cost increase is multiplied several times
the higher your cost component. The following
illustration based on the previous example
shows this other character of cost.
Company A
|
current |
10%
sales decrease |
10%
cost increase |
sales |
$100 |
$90 |
$100 |
cost |
70 |
63 |
77 |
|
----- |
----- |
----- |
profit |
30 |
27 |
23 |
%
profit increase |
|
-10% |
-23% |
Company B
|
current |
10%
sales decrease |
10%
cost increase |
sales |
$100 |
$90 |
$100 |
cost |
90 |
81 |
99 |
|
----- |
----- |
----- |
profit |
10 |
9 |
1 |
%
profit increase |
|
-10% |
-90% |
As most companies have experienced, cost increase
can wipe out profits faster than sales decline
of the same magnitude. Cost control, better
yet, cost reduction, is indeed a must, not
an option for survival. World class companies
do not waste the heroic efforts of their sales
force; through continuous cost reduction,
they make sure their marketing efforts result
not only in a sale, but a profitable sale.
Cost
is transparent to the customer
Another fact about cost is that companies
seldom realize that "Cost is transparent
to the customer". As long as the customer
gets the right quality at the right time at
a price that is reasonable, affordable, and
competitive, he doesn't care nor care to know
about your costs and profits. As long as he
gets value for money, he doesn't care nor
mind if you make 10% or 1000% profit, or whether
your cost is 99% or 5% of price. In other
words, he will keep on buying as long as he
perceives he is getting the expected value
from his purchase. Unlimited cost reduction
and profitability, as long as you do not compromise
quality and product delivery, is a right,
privilege, opportunity, and most of all, power,
that customers, with their indifference, grant
sellers and producers by default.
What are the strategic implications of cost
transparency and cost-as-profit outlook? The
first is that cost is not inherent in the
product or the industry. World class companies
do not take industry cost averages as standards
or even as guides. With their continuous cost
reduction programs, rather than be affected
by industry norms and practices, they affect
and pull down the industry cost standards.
They become the cost leaders in the industry,
and eventually, also the price leaders.
To a world class company, there are no such
things as fixed costs, uncontrollable costs,
or given costs. A huge part of this "untouchable"
costs are really unnecessary costs due to
mistakes and bad decisions made in the past,
often by the previous management, that have
continued as standards. The world class company
assumes that all costs are controllable, preventable,
and reducible. This belief is what drives
them to do kaizen, or non-stop improvement.
The second important implication is that all
costs are unnecessary unless proven otherwise.
This goes several steps beyond zero-based
budgeting - it is zero-based costing, zero-based
business. In other words, for cost reduction,
the floor is the limit. The aim is zero cost
- an allied objective of zero defect and zero
inventory. If cost is floor's the limit, then
profit is sky's the limit. It is common to
see world class companies achieve 800% to
1000% ROI or profit margin. To them, the business
textbook examples of 20-30% targets, often
seen in the boardrooms of most companies,
are child's play.
To
see cost is to reduce cost
How could a company start the world class
cost-reduction movement? First, it will have
to get everybody together to start digging
this gold mine, called cost, in the company's
backyard. Cost should be made the concern
and responsibility of every employee. Everybody
is not only a quality center, but a cost center
as well. Every employee has both a quality
responsibility and a cost responsibility.
To help them carry out this responsibility,
critical and relevant costs should be made
obvious and available to all employees. World
class companies make such costs visible to
everybody so that they may attract attention
and prompt action. In world class cost reduction,
ignorance is not an excuse.
In many Japanese world class companies, the
costs of all parts and supplies are posted
on the factory bulletin boards for everyone
to see. The costs of every kind of defect
or destroying a part of a product are also
displayed. These include material costs and
the cost of wasted labor and utilities consumed
by such defects. Costs of non-tangible items
may also be shown - cost per hour of machine
downtime, electrical consumption per machine,
overtime, etc. They even reveal the sales
figures and income statement regularly to
all employees - union members or not. The
management is less concerned with the leakage
of such information to competitors through
its employees than with preventing employees
from destroying and squandering company assets
and resources because of sheer ignorance of
their costs or value.
If a small part, say a bolt, is accidentally
dropped on the shop floor, probably no worker
would bother to pick it up and return it to
the tray. Somebody may even step on it or
kick it knowingly. But replace that bolt with
a 10 cents coin, its true cost to the company
- somebody would immediately pick it up. Now,
if every worker is made aware that each bolt
costs the company 10 cents, then everybody
would handle each bolt as if it were a 10
cents coin.
World class companies achieve mega-profitability
through persistent, relentless, and non-stop
quality improvement and cost reduction, while
maintaining the ultimate in customer satisfaction.
Profit to them is not a goal nor a target;
it is the natural consequence of world class
management, of putting the customer first,
and managing everything else with complete
freedom and open-mindedness.
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